måndag 21 januari 2019

Weekly analyze January 21, 2019

The crypto winter have a firm grip on BTC and most crypto prices are drifting lower, including SLT.  I have small positions in 5 other coins and looking at the trend for them they all look like they will be 0 in a few months’ time even if the projects show progress. Looking at the BTC price I can sometime wonder if there will be a turnaround, maybe the no-coiners are right. It’s a déjà vu feeling from the drops in 2014, 2015 & 2016 … 

But when looking at the SLT large wallet activity I get some hope, there were again several of the large wallets moving, slightly lower on total but one new wallet with 24k and one where 20k been moved in and out a couple of times for the last weeks. Preparations for the first STO? Let’s hope for some good news coming weeks attracting new inflows to the SLT.

Total new assets holders per week


Large wallet analyzes


Index calculated as weekly wallet change quantity divided over unchanged quantity, e.g. this week change (New 63.848 + Buy more 29.611 + Sold parts 61.750 + sold all 44.988) divided by Unchanged 5.452.885 = 3,07%.

Top 10 wallets & key individual wallet changes

  • First from top ranked wallet with movement was in rank 4, sold 5K ending up with 434k and first movement in this wallet since I started to watch in detail (2018-12-03). Same movement for rank 5.
  • Largest seller was the 9 ranked wallet, -35k ending up with 110k and also the first movement since my analyze started.
  • Largest buy was 28k in a new wallet followed by a 20k in a wallet that was 0 five weeks ago, then +20k, all sold two weeks ago and now back to 20k.
 

Changes in large wallets from December 10 to January 21

Price and volume analyze

The trend is calculated with linear regression. Upper and lower bounders calculated as 95% probability for the price to be within this range, based on the standard deviation for the period. Current standard deviation 0,32. Actual one month trend indicates that price is dropping $0,02 per day.

Data sources:
Link to Smartlands


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